Many traders track their profit/loss statements, but
never examine their trading results in greater detail.
This is like a baseball pitcher keeping tabs on wins and losses,
but never examining statistics (pitches thrown per game, strikes
vs. balls throwns, hits vs. outs for left-handed hitters vs.
right-handed ones, etc) that capture how well he's really been
pitching.
For traders, many of the metrics that reveal how well you're
trading include the average heat you take on your positions (a nice
measure of execution skill); the average sizes of your winning and
losing trades; and the the number of winning and losing trades
broken down by:
* Time of Day/Day of Week
* Specific Market or Stock/Stock Sector
* Specific Strategy or Setups
* Market Condition (trending up/down, non-trending)
* Size of Position
* Number of Trades
When coaching traders, I also like to look at what I call
"contingent returns". How do you trade after a string of winning
trades? After a string of losers? You can learn a great deal about
emotional resilience, overconfidence, and coping with stress by
pulling out those trades that occur after streaks.
One very simple metric that is easily within the grasp of traders
is the distribution of returns. If you plot your daily returns (if
you're a daytrader) or monthly returns (if you swing trade) over
time, you can generate a histogram that is quite informative.
You'll be able to see whether your average trades are skewed to the
winning or losing side and whether the tails of the distribution
are fatter at the profit or loss end. A trend follower often will
have more losing trades than winners, but will show fat tails at
the winning side over time if he has captured good trends. Very
short-term traders I've worked with have relatively balanced
distributions at the tails, but simply have more winning trades
than losers: their distributions are shifted rightward compared to
a normal distribution.
Over time, generating these distributions, you gain a sense for how
you trade when you trade well and how you trade when you are off
your game. A fattening of tails at the losing end of the histogram
might suggest a loss of discipline; a small tail at the winning end
might indicate cutting winners too quickly.
It also helps to take a look at the variability of your returns.
The standard deviation of your returns represents the width of the
histogram and is one way of capturing volatility. Over time, you
can see how your current volatility of returns compares with past
volatility: Are you putting on enough risk when you're seeing
markets well? Are you swinging for the fences when opportunity
isn't there? The volatility of your returns reveals your relative
risk aversion vs. risk seeking.
Just about every professional trader at hedge funds that I work
with knows these metrics for their trading. It's a way of keeping
score, and it's a way of keeping on top of your craft. Examining
the distribution of your returns and alerting yourself to shifts in
the distributions, from my vantage point, is a best practice in
trading and an excellent strategy for self-coaching.


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